ATP/WTA Tennis

Hanyu Guo vs Dalila Jakupovic Prediction

April 29, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Hanyu Guo vs Dalila Jakupovic prediction for April 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Dalila Jakupovic 0 - Hanyu Guo 0. Dalila Jakupovic is favored with a 90.8% win probability.

Dalila Jakupovic
1506
Hard Elo
VS Hard • WTA
Hanyu Guo
1440
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
90.8%
9.2%
Dalila JakupovicHanyu Guo
Hard
Surface
Huzhou
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 64.1% (1,259 games)

Match Context

Tournament
Huzhou
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA

Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)

Hanyu Guo
1440
Dalila Jakupovic
1506
Dalila Jakupovic leads by 66 Elo points on Hard

Serve & Return Analysis

Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%

Hanyu Guo SPW
41.5%
Below tour avg
Dalila Jakupovic SPW
53.2%
Below tour avg
● Dalila Jakupovic has a significant serve advantage (+11.7%)

Market Odds & Model Edge

Hanyu Guo ML
-460
Model: 9%
Edge: -73.0%
Dalila Jakupovic ML
+305
Model: 91%
Edge: +66.1%
Model Projection
Dalila Jakupovic ML +305 · +66.1% edge

Key Matchup Factors

Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Dalila Jakupovic 90.8%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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