College Basketball Model Accuracy — 2026 Season Report Card
344 graded College Basketball picks in 2026 (2026-01-01 to 2026-04-06): 186-155-3, 54.5% win rate, +23.6u (5.3% ROI). Every pick timestamped before the event and graded against the final result.
Aggregated from the public, timestamped resolved-pick ledger covering 2026-01-01 to 2026-04-06. Season means the 2026 calendar year, not a league-specific season window. See College Basketball model methodology and the full track record (CSV).
By tier
All picks
186-155-3 · 54.5% · +23.6u · 5.3% ROI
Free tier
107-84-1 · 56.0% · +20.1u · 7.8% ROI
Premium tier
79-71-2 · 52.7% · +3.5u · 1.9% ROI
By market
| Market | Picks | W-L-P | Win rate | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTHER | 344 | 186-155-3 | 54.5% | +23.6u | 5.3% |
By month
| Month | Picks | W-L-P | Win rate | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 95 | 57-38-0 | 60.0% | +30.2u | 17.3% |
| 2026-02 | 110 | 62-46-2 | 57.4% | +9.5u | 6.5% |
| 2026-03 | 128 | 59-68-1 | 46.5% | -18.6u | -16.2% |
| 2026-04 | 11 | 8-3-0 | 72.7% | +2.5u | 27.9% |
How to read this
Units are 1-unit-normalised and sized by Kelly criterion at pick time, so units and win rate move independently — a sub-50% win rate can still be profitable on longer prices, and a high win rate on heavy favourites can lose units. ROI is units won over units staked.
Individual game pages are retired 90 days after the event; this page is the permanent record of what the model actually did.