Counter-Strike 2 Model Accuracy — 2026 Season Report Card
161 graded Counter-Strike 2 picks in 2026 (2026-04-14 to 2026-10-13): 53-108-0, 32.9% win rate, -23.4u (-26.1% ROI). Every pick timestamped before the event and graded against the final result.
Aggregated from the public, timestamped resolved-pick ledger covering 2026-04-14 to 2026-10-13. Season means the 2026 calendar year, not a league-specific season window. See Counter-Strike 2 model methodology and the full track record (CSV).
By tier
All picks
53-108-0 · 32.9% · -23.4u · -26.1% ROI
Free tier
34-72-0 · 32.1% · -11.9u · -21.3% ROI
Premium tier
4-11-0 · 26.7% · -7.6u · -54.3% ROI
Premium Leans
15-25-0 · 37.5% · -3.9u · -19.7% ROI
By market
| Market | Picks | W-L-P | Win rate | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ML | 160 | 53-107-0 | 33.1% | -22.4u | -25.3% |
By month
| Month | Picks | W-L-P | Win rate | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -1.0u | -100.0% |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -1.5u | -100.0% |
| 2026-06 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | +2.4u | 119.6% |
| 2026-07 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | +1.5u | 51.0% |
| 2026-08 | 22 | 7-15-0 | 31.8% | -2.1u | -16.5% |
| 2026-09 | 100 | 32-68-0 | 32.0% | -16.7u | -31.8% |
| 2026-10 | 30 | 9-21-0 | 30.0% | -6.0u | -35.8% |
How to read this
Units are 1-unit-normalised and sized by Kelly criterion at pick time, so units and win rate move independently — a sub-50% win rate can still be profitable on longer prices, and a high win rate on heavy favourites can lose units. ROI is units won over units staked.
Individual game pages are retired 90 days after the event; this page is the permanent record of what the model actually did.