Counter-Strike 2 Model Accuracy — 2026 Season Report Card
25 graded Counter-Strike 2 picks in 2026 (2026-04-14 to 2026-08-28): 9-16-0, 36.0% win rate, -1.1u (-6.5% ROI). Every pick timestamped before the event and graded against the final result.
Aggregated from the public, timestamped resolved-pick ledger covering 2026-04-14 to 2026-08-28. Season means the 2026 calendar year, not a league-specific season window. See Counter-Strike 2 model methodology and the full track record (CSV).
By tier
All picks
9-16-0 · 36.0% · -1.1u · -6.5% ROI
Free tier
6-14-0 · 30.0% · -1.5u · -11.5% ROI
Premium tier
3-2-0 · 60.0% · +0.4u · 9.8% ROI
By market
| Market | Picks | W-L-P | Win rate | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ML | 24 | 9-15-0 | 37.5% | -0.1u | -0.7% |
By month
| Month | Picks | W-L-P | Win rate | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -1.0u | -100.0% |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -1.5u | -100.0% |
| 2026-06 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | +2.4u | 119.6% |
| 2026-07 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | +1.5u | 51.0% |
| 2026-08 | 16 | 4-12-0 | 25.0% | -2.5u | -26.6% |
How to read this
Units are 1-unit-normalised and sized by Kelly criterion at pick time, so units and win rate move independently — a sub-50% win rate can still be profitable on longer prices, and a high win rate on heavy favourites can lose units. ROI is units won over units staked.
Individual game pages are retired 90 days after the event; this page is the permanent record of what the model actually did.