OLYMPIC Model Accuracy — 2026 Season Report Card

56 graded OLYMPIC picks in 2026 (2026-02-11 to 2026-02-22): 23-30-3, 43.4% win rate, -10.9u (-18.2% ROI). Every pick timestamped before the event and graded against the final result.

Aggregated from the public, timestamped resolved-pick ledger covering 2026-02-11 to 2026-02-22. Season means the 2026 calendar year, not a league-specific season window. See model methodology and the full track record (CSV).

By tier

All picks

23-30-3 · 43.4% · -10.9u · -18.2% ROI

Free tier

23-30-3 · 43.4% · -10.9u · -18.2% ROI

By market

MarketPicksW-L-PWin rateUnitsROI
OTHER5623-30-343.4%-10.9u-18.2%

By month

MonthPicksW-L-PWin rateUnitsROI
2026-025623-30-343.4%-10.9u-18.2%

How to read this

Units are 1-unit-normalised and sized by Kelly criterion at pick time, so units and win rate move independently — a sub-50% win rate can still be profitable on longer prices, and a high win rate on heavy favourites can lose units. ROI is units won over units staked.

Individual game pages are retired 90 days after the event; this page is the permanent record of what the model actually did.

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