WNBA Model Accuracy — 2026 Season Report Card
51 graded WNBA picks in 2026 (2026-06-19 to 2026-08-01): 24-26-1, 48.0% win rate, -3.3u (-9.3% ROI). Every pick timestamped before the event and graded against the final result.
Aggregated from the public, timestamped resolved-pick ledger covering 2026-06-19 to 2026-08-01. Season means the 2026 calendar year, not a league-specific season window. See WNBA model methodology and the full track record (CSV).
By tier
All picks
24-26-1 · 48.0% · -3.3u · -9.3% ROI
Free tier
19-25-1 · 43.2% · -5.9u · -21.9% ROI
Premium tier
5-1-0 · 83.3% · +2.6u · 33.1% ROI
By market
| Market | Picks | W-L-P | Win rate | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | 23 | 10-12-1 | 45.5% | -2.1u | -14.8% |
| TOTAL | 20 | 9-11-0 | 45.0% | -2.8u | -24.0% |
| ORACLE | 6 | 5-1-0 | 83.3% | +2.6u | 33.1% |
By month
| Month | Picks | W-L-P | Win rate | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | -0.1u | -1.9% |
| 2026-07 | 46 | 21-24-1 | 46.7% | -3.2u | -10.6% |
| 2026-08 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | -0.0u | -1.0% |
How to read this
Units are 1-unit-normalised and sized by Kelly criterion at pick time, so units and win rate move independently — a sub-50% win rate can still be profitable on longer prices, and a high win rate on heavy favourites can lose units. ROI is units won over units staked.
Individual game pages are retired 90 days after the event; this page is the permanent record of what the model actually did.