WNBA Model Accuracy — 2026 Season Report Card
62 graded WNBA picks in 2026 (2026-06-19 to 2026-10-09): 30-31-1, 49.2% win rate, -2.6u (-6.4% ROI). Every pick timestamped before the event and graded against the final result.
Aggregated from the public, timestamped resolved-pick ledger covering 2026-06-19 to 2026-10-09. Season means the 2026 calendar year, not a league-specific season window. See WNBA model methodology and the full track record (CSV).
By tier
All picks
30-31-1 · 49.2% · -2.6u · -6.4% ROI
Free tier
20-27-1 · 42.6% · -6.4u · -22.5% ROI
Premium tier
5-1-0 · 83.3% · +2.6u · 33.1% ROI
Premium Leans
5-3-0 · 62.5% · +1.2u · 29.8% ROI
By market
| Market | Picks | W-L-P | Win rate | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | 23 | 10-12-1 | 45.5% | -2.1u | -14.8% |
| TOTAL | 20 | 9-11-0 | 45.0% | -2.8u | -24.0% |
| ORACLE | 6 | 5-1-0 | 83.3% | +2.6u | 33.1% |
| WNBA_PLAYER_POINTS | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | +0.5u | 20.8% |
By month
| Month | Picks | W-L-P | Win rate | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | -0.1u | -1.9% |
| 2026-07 | 46 | 21-24-1 | 46.7% | -3.2u | -10.6% |
| 2026-08 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | -0.0u | -1.0% |
| 2026-09 | 10 | 6-4-0 | 60.0% | +1.2u | 23.6% |
| 2026-10 | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -0.5u | -100.0% |
How to read this
Units are 1-unit-normalised and sized by Kelly criterion at pick time, so units and win rate move independently — a sub-50% win rate can still be profitable on longer prices, and a high win rate on heavy favourites can lose units. ROI is units won over units staked.
Individual game pages are retired 90 days after the event; this page is the permanent record of what the model actually did.