FINAL: Texas Southern 74 — Alabama A&M 85. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Texas Southern 80.1 - Alabama A&M 77.1 (Texas Southern at 65.3% win probability). The spread is -1.0 and the total is 143.0.
Texas Southern
80.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 143.0
Alabama A&M
77.1
Projected Score
Win Probability
Texas SouthernAlabama A&M
-1.0
Spread (Texas Southern)
143.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Alabama A&M W4Texas Southern L5
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.9% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Alabama A&M
647791
Texas Southern
678094
Projected
Texas Southern 80.1 — Alabama A&M 77.1
Actual
Texas Southern 74 — Alabama A&M 85
Pick Results
Texas Southern MLmlLOSS-1.00u
Spread Analysis
Texas Southern Cover
64.6%
Alabama A&M Cover
35.4%
ATS Edge: +5.8 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Texas Southern 65.3%
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Spread
-1.0
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Total
143.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →