How Free Picks Work
Each day, the Olympus Bets pipeline generates recommendations across all active leagues. The best picks are designated for premium members. A curated selection of free picks is published here, giving everyone access to simulation-driven analysis at no cost.
Monte Carlo Backed
Every pick comes from league-specific simulation engines that model 10,000+ game scenarios. NBA uses possession-level modeling. NHL uses zone-based shot sequencing. CBB employs player-level matchup analysis. These are not opinions or trends — they are probabilistic outputs from quantitative models.
Kelly Criterion Sizing
Each pick includes a unit recommendation based on the Kelly Criterion, calibrated by league. This tells you not just what to bet, but how much relative to your bankroll. Larger edges get larger unit sizes. Smaller edges get conservative sizing. This mathematical framework maximizes long-term growth.
Updated 5x Daily
Picks are regenerated multiple times throughout the day as new odds data comes in. Morning runs establish the primary slate. Midday and afternoon runs incorporate line movement, injury updates, and fresh odds. Each regeneration re-simulates every game from scratch.
Multi-League Coverage
Free picks span NBA, NHL, CBB, NFL, Soccer, MLB, and LoL esports. Each league has a dedicated simulation engine tuned to its specific dynamics. Coverage varies by season and game availability.
What's Included in Free Picks
| Feature | Free | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Daily picks across all leagues | 2-4 picks | All picks (8-15+) |
| Monte Carlo simulation output | Yes | Yes |
| Kelly Criterion unit sizing | Yes | Yes |
| Confidence tier (LEAN/VALUE/STRONG) | Yes | Yes |
| Detailed game analysis writeups | No | Yes |
| Edge percentage and model probability | No | Yes |
| Premium-only high-conviction picks | No | Yes |