Unlock the Full Power of Quantitative Sports Analytics

Monte Carlo simulations, Kelly Criterion sizing, Bayesian-calibrated probabilities, and detailed game-by-game writeups across 9 leagues. One subscription. No contracts.

Start Premium - $19.99/mo Try Free Picks First
54.8%
Premium Win Rate
+21.74u
Total Units Profit
+6.8%
Return on Investment
9
Leagues Covered

Choose Your Plan

Free Tier

$0/mo
  • Curated daily picks (2-4 per day)
  • Basic simulation results
  • Full track record access
  • Methodology documentation
  • Monte Carlo guide and Kelly calculator
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What Premium Includes

Full Pick Slate

Free users see a curated selection. Premium members get every pick our engines generate across NBA, NHL, CBB, NFL, MLB, Soccer, LoL, and more. On a busy day, that can mean 15 or more actionable edges.

Game-by-Game Writeups

Each premium pick comes with a detailed analysis explaining the edge: what the simulation found, why the line is mispriced, key matchup factors, and injury impacts. No generic "team X is hot" takes.

Kelly-Optimized Sizing

Every pick includes a unit recommendation derived from Kelly Criterion mathematics with league-specific caps. Our sizing accounts for Bayesian probability shrinkage to prevent overconfident wager recommendations.

Monte Carlo Simulation Details

See the full simulation output: win probabilities, margin distributions, spread cover rates, and total projections. Understand not just what to bet but why the model sees value.

Real-Time Injury Integration

Our engines pull injury data from multiple sources (ESPN, RotoWire, league APIs) and re-simulate affected games. When a key player is ruled out, you see updated lines and edges, not stale pre-injury projections.

All 9 Leagues

NBA, NHL, CBB, NFL, MLB, Soccer, LoL, Olympic hockey, and WBC. Each league has a purpose-built engine: possession-level for NBA, xG-based for NHL, 5-on-5 player sims for CBB, and play-by-play for Soccer.


Performance by the Numbers

All results are from tracked, published picks with verifiable outcomes. We publish every pick, including losses. View the full track record.

College Basketball (CBB)

Our strongest league. The Savant Ultra v5.0.1 engine with 5-on-5 player simulation and adaptive ATS regime thresholds has delivered 56.4% ATS accuracy and +28.47 units of profit. Conference strength adjustments and EvanMiya BPR integration give us an edge in the college market where lines are thinner.

NHL

The V19.1 Pinnacle engine integrates MoneyPuck expected goals, real danger zone data, and the FOLLOW/FADE hybrid strategy that systematically corrects for positional biases. Per-zone goalie modeling and Bayesian shrinkage keep probabilities calibrated through streaky stretches.

NBA

Possession MC V5.0.2 simulates every possession with Beta-distributed shooting, score-state dynamics, 13-player rotations, and pace-duration compensation. The engine integrates multi-source injury validation and categorical performance weights.


Frequently Asked Questions

Can I cancel anytime?

Yes. There are no contracts and no cancellation fees. Your subscription renews monthly. Cancel through your account and you will retain access until the end of your current billing period.

How does billing work?

We use Stripe for secure payment processing. You will be charged $19.99 on the day you subscribe and on the same date each month thereafter. Stripe handles all card data. We never see or store your payment information.

What happens after I subscribe?

You will receive an access code via email within minutes. Enter this code on the platform to unlock premium picks, writeups, and simulation details. The code works across all devices and sessions.

Is the free tier really free?

Yes. No credit card required. You get curated daily picks, basic simulation results, the full track record, and access to all educational resources including the Monte Carlo guide and Kelly calculator. The free tier is not a trial. It is a permanent feature.

How many picks do premium members get?

It varies by day and which leagues are in season. During peak sports months (October through March with NBA, NHL, and CBB all active), premium members typically see 8 to 15 picks per day. Off-season months focus on MLB, Soccer, and LoL.

Do you guarantee profits?

No. Sports betting involves risk and no model can guarantee profits. What we guarantee is transparency: you will see the exact methodology, every historical pick, and honest performance reporting. Our edge is mathematical, not magical, and variance is real.


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Join thousands of quantitative sports bettors who use Monte Carlo simulation and Kelly Criterion to make informed decisions.

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