Unlock the Full Power of Quantitative Sports Analytics

Monte Carlo simulations, Kelly Criterion sizing, Bayesian-calibrated probabilities, and detailed game-by-game writeups across 12 leagues. One subscription. No contracts.

Start the $1 Trial — 7 Days of Premium Try Free Projections First
World Cup Final week · every knockout match simulated 10,000+ times before kickoff. Start the $1 trial

Premium is the full research layer, not a picks feed: every matchup in every covered league is simulated 10,000+ times daily with the model's edge surfaced for each graded market (spread, moneyline, total), plus quantitative research writeups per pick, Olympus Oracle prediction-market intelligence, MLB player props, and parlay decks. The free tier is a permanent public verifiable record — not a trial.

53.3%
Free Tier Win Rate (public record)
+37.26u
Free Tier Units (verifiable ledger)
1,924
Graded Picks Tracked
12
Leagues Covered

Every pick is graded on an immutable public ledger. Premium-tier numbers are reported separately and unfiltered on the track record page.


Choose Your Plan

Free Tier

$0/mo
  • Curated daily projections (2-4 per day)
  • Basic simulation results
  • Full track record access
  • Methodology documentation
  • Monte Carlo guide and Kelly calculator
View Free Projections

What Premium Includes

Full Pick Slate

Free users see a curated selection. Premium members get every pick our engines generate across NBA, NHL, CBB, NFL, MLB, Soccer, LoL, and more. On a busy day, that can mean 15 or more actionable edges.

Game-by-Game Writeups

Each premium pick comes with a detailed analysis explaining the edge: what the simulation found, why the line is mispriced, key matchup factors, and injury impacts. No generic "team X is hot" takes.

Kelly-Optimized Sizing

Every pick includes a unit recommendation derived from Kelly Criterion mathematics with league-specific caps. Our sizing accounts for Bayesian probability shrinkage to prevent overconfident wager recommendations.

How Premium Sizing Works Now

Since July 10, 2026, premium runs a concentration rule: full stake goes only to bet categories with a proven realized record, meaning a trailing-90-day category record that clears our thresholds or a GREEN profitability zone. Everything else runs at a reduced discovery stake (about a third of full) while it builds a record. We publish losing weeks too: see Model vs Market on the track record and the frozen weekly report cards.

Monte Carlo Simulation Details

See the full simulation output: win probabilities, margin distributions, spread cover rates, and total projections. Understand not just what to bet but why the number is what it is.

Real-Time Injury Integration

Our engines pull injury data from multiple sources (ESPN, RotoWire, league APIs) and re-simulate affected games. When a key player is ruled out, you see updated lines and edges, not stale pre-injury projections.

All 12 Leagues

NBA, WNBA, NHL, NFL, CBB, CFB, MLB, Soccer, Tennis, Golf, LoL, and CS2. This summer that means World Cup soccer, MLB, WNBA, Golf, Tennis, LoL, and CS2; NBA, NHL, CBB, and football carry the winter. Each league has a purpose-built engine: possession-level for NBA, xG-based for NHL, 5-on-5 player sims for CBB, and play-by-play for Soccer.


Performance by the Numbers

All results are from tracked, published picks with verifiable outcomes. We publish every pick, including losses. View the full track record.

College Basketball (CBB)

Our strongest league. The Savant Ultra v5.0.1 engine with 5-on-5 player simulation and adaptive ATS regime thresholds has delivered 56.4% ATS accuracy and +28.47 units of profit. Conference strength adjustments and EvanMiya BPR integration give us an edge in the college market where lines are thinner.

NHL

The V19.1 Pinnacle engine integrates MoneyPuck expected goals, real danger zone data, and the FOLLOW/FADE hybrid strategy that systematically corrects for positional biases. Per-zone goalie modeling and Bayesian shrinkage keep probabilities calibrated through streaky stretches.

NBA

Possession MC V5.0.2 simulates every possession with Beta-distributed shooting, score-state dynamics, 13-player rotations, and pace-duration compensation. The engine integrates multi-source injury validation and categorical performance weights.


Frequently Asked Questions

Can I cancel anytime?

Yes. There are no contracts and no cancellation fees. Your subscription renews on your plan’s cycle (weekly, monthly, seasonal, or annual). Cancel through your account and you will retain access until the end of your current billing period.

How does billing work?

We use Stripe for secure payment processing. The $1 trial gives 7 days of full premium access, then renews at $15/week unless you cancel; the trial is one per customer. Prefer fewer renewals? Choose $39/month, the $99 Season Pass (3 months, save 15%), or $349/year (save 25%). Stripe handles all card data. We never see or store your payment information.

What happens after I subscribe?

You will receive an access code via email within minutes. Enter this code on the platform to unlock premium projections, writeups, and simulation details. The code works across all devices and sessions.

Is the free tier really free?

Yes. No credit card required. You get curated daily projections, basic simulation results, the full track record, and access to all educational resources including the Monte Carlo guide and Kelly calculator. The free tier is not a trial. It is a permanent feature.

How many picks do premium members get?

It varies by day and by which leagues are in season, but with 12 leagues covered there is always a live slate. Right now that means World Cup soccer, MLB, WNBA, Golf, Tennis, LoL, and CS2; in winter the volume shifts to NBA, NHL, CBB, and football. Busy days can bring 8 to 15 picks. Quieter days bring fewer, because pick volume follows real edges, not a quota.

Do you guarantee profits?

No. Sports betting involves risk and no model can guarantee profits. What we guarantee is transparency: you will see the exact methodology, every historical pick, and honest performance reporting. Our edge is mathematical, not magical, and variance is real.


Ready to Get Started?

Join thousands of quantitative sports bettors who use Monte Carlo simulation and Kelly Criterion to make informed decisions.

Start the $1 Trial — 7 Days of Premium Compare Platforms