FINAL: Kansas 68 — California Baptist 60. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Kansas 76.8 - California Baptist 56.2 (Kansas at 80.7% win probability). The spread is -14.0 and the total is 141.5.
Kansas
76.8
Projected Score
VS
O/U 141.5
California Baptist
56.2
Projected Score
Win Probability
KansasCalifornia Baptist
-14.0
Spread (Kansas)
141.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 96.2% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
California Baptist
435669
Kansas
647790
Projected
Kansas 76.8 — California Baptist 56.2
Actual
Kansas 68 — California Baptist 60
Pick Results
Kansas -14.0spreadLOSS-0.50u
Spread Analysis
Kansas Cover
73.4%
California Baptist Cover
26.6%
ATS Edge: +14.1 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Kansas 80.7%
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Spread
-14.0
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Total
141.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →