FINAL: Duke 73 — Clemson 61. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Duke 73.1 - Clemson 57.8 (Duke at 78.8% win probability). The spread is -10.0 and the total is 133.0.
Duke
73.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 133.0
Clemson
57.8
Projected Score
Win Probability
DukeClemson
-10.0
Spread (Duke)
133.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Clemson L4Duke
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 92.2% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Clemson
465870
Duke
617385
Projected
Duke 73.1 — Clemson 57.8
Actual
Duke 73 — Clemson 61
Pick Results
Duke -11.5spreadWIN+0.91u
Duke -10.5spreadWIN+0.91u
Spread Analysis
Duke Cover
65.0%
Clemson Cover
35.0%
ATS Edge: +8.3 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Duke 78.8%
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Spread
-10.0
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Total
133.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →