FINAL: North Carolina 79 — Clemson 80. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected North Carolina 78.7 - Clemson 75.9 (North Carolina at 68.1% win probability). The spread is 1.5 and the total is 140.0.
North Carolina
78.7
Projected Score
VS
O/U 140.0
Clemson
75.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
North CarolinaClemson
+1.5
Spread (North Carolina)
140.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Clemson L4North Carolina
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.8% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Clemson
647688
North Carolina
677991
Projected
North Carolina 78.7 — Clemson 75.9
Actual
North Carolina 79 — Clemson 80
Pick Results
North Carolina MLmlLOSS-1.00u
Spread Analysis
North Carolina Cover
64.3%
Clemson Cover
35.7%
ATS Edge: +7.1 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
North Carolina 68.1%
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Spread
+1.5
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Total
140.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →