FINAL: VCU 71 — Duquesne 66. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected VCU 85.3 - Duquesne 77.3 (VCU at 70.8% win probability). The spread is -9.0 and the total is 154.0.
VCU
85.3
Projected Score
VS
O/U 154.0
Duquesne
77.3
Projected Score
Win Probability
VCUDuquesne
-9.0
Spread (VCU)
154.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
DuquesneVCU W5
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.8% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Duquesne
647791
VCU
728599
Projected
VCU 85.3 — Duquesne 77.3
Actual
VCU 71 — Duquesne 66
Pick Results
Over 153.0totalLOSS-1.50u
Spread Analysis
VCU Cover
47.6%
Duquesne Cover
52.4%
ATS Edge: -0.7 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
VCU 70.8%
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Spread
-9.0
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Total
154.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →