FINAL: UT Martin 66 — Eastern Illinois 63. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected UT Martin 68.8 - Eastern Illinois 57.5 (UT Martin at 75.7% win probability). The spread is -8.0 and the total is 123.0.
UT Martin
68.8
Projected Score
VS
O/U 123.0
Eastern Illinois
57.5
Projected Score
Win Probability
UT MartinEastern Illinois
-8.0
Spread (UT Martin)
123.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 87.4% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Eastern Illinois
445871
UT Martin
556982
Projected
UT Martin 68.8 — Eastern Illinois 57.5
Actual
UT Martin 66 — Eastern Illinois 63
Pick Results
UT Martin -6.5spreadLOSS-0.50u
Spread Analysis
UT Martin Cover
69.9%
Eastern Illinois Cover
30.1%
ATS Edge: +7.1 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
UT Martin 75.7%
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Spread
-8.0
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Total
123.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →