FINAL: North Texas 74 — Florida Atlantic 70. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected North Texas 68.8 - Florida Atlantic 67.1 (North Texas at 56.1% win probability). The spread is -1.5 and the total is 137.0.
North Texas
68.8
Projected Score
VS
O/U 137.0
Florida Atlantic
67.1
Projected Score
Win Probability
North TexasFlorida Atlantic
-1.5
Spread (North Texas)
137.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.7% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Florida Atlantic
546780
North Texas
566981
Projected
North Texas 68.8 — Florida Atlantic 67.1
Actual
North Texas 74 — Florida Atlantic 70
Pick Results
North Texas MLmlWIN+1.14u
Spread Analysis
North Texas Cover
50.8%
Florida Atlantic Cover
49.2%
ATS Edge: +0.3 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
North Texas 56.1%
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Spread
-1.5
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Total
137.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →