FINAL: Samford 81 — Furman 86. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Samford 79.2 - Furman 76.1 (Samford at 64.2% win probability). The spread is -1.5 and the total is 147.0.
Samford
79.2
Projected Score
VS
O/U 147.0
Furman
76.1
Projected Score
Win Probability
SamfordFurman
-1.5
Spread (Samford)
147.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.9% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Furman
637689
Samford
667992
Projected
Samford 79.2 — Furman 76.1
Actual
Samford 81 — Furman 86
Pick Results
Samford MLmlLOSS-1.00u
Spread Analysis
Samford Cover
60.9%
Furman Cover
39.1%
ATS Edge: +2.6 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Samford 64.2%
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Spread
-1.5
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Total
147.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →