FINAL: UConn 67 — Georgetown 51. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected UConn 81.3 - Georgetown 60.8 (UConn at 80.5% win probability). The spread is -15.0 and the total is 139.0.
UConn
81.3
Projected Score
VS
O/U 139.0
Georgetown
60.8
Projected Score
Win Probability
UConnGeorgetown
-15.0
Spread (UConn)
139.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 96.2% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Georgetown
486174
UConn
688194
Projected
UConn 81.3 — Georgetown 60.8
Actual
UConn 67 — Georgetown 51
Pick Results
UConn -13.5spreadWIN+0.91u
Spread Analysis
UConn Cover
67.5%
Georgetown Cover
32.5%
ATS Edge: +9.2 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
UConn 80.5%
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Spread
-15.0
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Total
139.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →