FINAL: Villanova 64 — Georgetown 78. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Villanova 80.2 - Georgetown 65.6 (Villanova at 79.3% win probability). The spread is -6.5 and the total is 140.5.
Villanova
80.2
Projected Score
VS
O/U 140.5
Georgetown
65.6
Projected Score
Win Probability
VillanovaGeorgetown
-6.5
Spread (Villanova)
140.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
GeorgetownVillanova L4
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 92.2% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Georgetown
536678
Villanova
688093
Projected
Villanova 80.2 — Georgetown 65.6
Actual
Villanova 64 — Georgetown 78
Pick Results
Villanova -8.5spreadLOSS-1.00u
Spread Analysis
Villanova Cover
69.3%
Georgetown Cover
30.7%
ATS Edge: +13.5 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Villanova 79.3%
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Spread
-6.5
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Total
140.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →