FINAL: Tennessee 78 — Miami (OH) 56. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Tennessee 87.5 - Miami (OH) 67.4 (Tennessee at 79.1% win probability). The spread is -26.0 and the total is 143.5.
Tennessee
87.5
Projected Score
VS
O/U 143.5
Miami (OH)
67.4
Projected Score
Win Probability
TennesseeMiami (OH)
-26.0
Spread (Tennessee)
143.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 92.2% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Miami (OH)
546780
Tennessee
7588100
Projected
Tennessee 87.5 — Miami (OH) 67.4
Actual
Tennessee 78 — Miami (OH) 56
Pick Results
Tennessee -11.0spreadWIN+0.45u
Spread Analysis
Tennessee Cover
64.3%
Miami (OH) Cover
35.7%
ATS Edge: +5.3 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Tennessee 79.1%
--
Spread
-26.0
--
Total
143.5
--
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →