FINAL: Purdue 79 — Miami 69. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Purdue 90.2 - Miami 81.4 (Purdue at 75.2% win probability). The spread is -7.5 and the total is 147.5.
Purdue
90.2
Projected Score
VS
O/U 147.5
Miami
81.4
Projected Score
Win Probability
PurdueMiami
-7.5
Spread (Purdue)
147.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Miami L4Purdue
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 87.4% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Miami
698193
Purdue
7890102
Projected
Purdue 90.2 — Miami 81.4
Actual
Purdue 79 — Miami 69
Pick Results
Purdue -7.5spreadWIN+0.91u
Spread Analysis
Purdue Cover
60.5%
Miami Cover
39.5%
ATS Edge: +2.2 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Purdue 75.2%
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Spread
-7.5
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Total
147.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →