FINAL: Louisiana Tech 80 — Middle Tennessee 69. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Louisiana Tech 67.5 - Middle Tennessee 65.9 (Louisiana Tech at 64.9% win probability). The spread is 2.5 and the total is 131.5.
Louisiana Tech
67.5
Projected Score
VS
O/U 131.5
Middle Tennessee
65.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
Louisiana TechMiddle Tennessee
+2.5
Spread (Louisiana Tech)
131.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Middle TennesseeLouisiana Tech W5
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.9% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Middle Tennessee
536679
Louisiana Tech
556880
Projected
Louisiana Tech 67.5 — Middle Tennessee 65.9
Actual
Louisiana Tech 80 — Middle Tennessee 69
Pick Results
Louisiana Tech MLmlWIN+1.10u
Spread Analysis
Louisiana Tech Cover
63.6%
Middle Tennessee Cover
36.4%
ATS Edge: +6.9 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Louisiana Tech 64.9%
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Spread
+2.5
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Total
131.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →