FINAL: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 74 — New Orleans 61. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 73.6 - New Orleans 70.4 (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at 65.5% win probability). The spread is -1.5 and the total is 143.5.
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
73.6
Projected Score
VS
O/U 143.5
New Orleans
70.4
Projected Score
Win Probability
Texas A&M-Corpus ChristiNew Orleans
-1.5
Spread (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
143.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
New Orleans L5Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.8% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
New Orleans
577083
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
617487
Projected
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 73.6 — New Orleans 70.4
Actual
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 74 — New Orleans 61
Pick Results
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi MLmlWIN+0.87u
Spread Analysis
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Cover
59.7%
New Orleans Cover
40.3%
ATS Edge: +2.9 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 65.5%
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Spread
-1.5
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Total
143.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →