FINAL: Florida Gulf Coast 69 — North Alabama 58. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Florida Gulf Coast 68.5 - North Alabama 59.6 (Florida Gulf Coast at 71.6% win probability). The spread is -7.5 and the total is 141.5.
Florida Gulf Coast
68.5
Projected Score
VS
O/U 141.5
North Alabama
59.6
Projected Score
Win Probability
Florida Gulf CoastNorth Alabama
-7.5
Spread (Florida Gulf Coast)
141.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.5% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
North Alabama
466073
Florida Gulf Coast
556882
Projected
Florida Gulf Coast 68.5 — North Alabama 59.6
Actual
Florida Gulf Coast 69 — North Alabama 58
Pick Results
Florida Gulf Coast +10.0spreadWIN+0.45u
Spread Analysis
Florida Gulf Coast Cover
66.3%
North Alabama Cover
33.7%
ATS Edge: +0.0 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Florida Gulf Coast 71.6%
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Spread
-7.5
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Total
141.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →