FINAL: Baylor 69 — Oklahoma 82. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Baylor 88.9 - Oklahoma 89.0 (Baylor at 50.6% win probability). The spread is -1.0 and the total is 158.5.
Baylor
88.9
Projected Score
VS
O/U 158.5
Oklahoma
89.0
Projected Score
Win Probability
BaylorOklahoma
-1.0
Spread (Baylor)
158.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.1% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Oklahoma
7689102
Baylor
7689102
Projected
Baylor 88.9 — Oklahoma 89.0
Actual
Baylor 69 — Oklahoma 82
Pick Results
OVER 157.5overWIN+0.45u
Spread Analysis
Baylor Cover
48.7%
Oklahoma Cover
51.3%
ATS Edge: -1.7 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Baylor 50.6%
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Spread
-1.0
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Total
158.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →