FINAL: West Virginia 89 — Oklahoma 82. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected West Virginia 72.3 - Oklahoma 75.4 (Oklahoma at 60.7% win probability). The spread is 3.5 and the total is 137.0.
West Virginia
72.3
Projected Score
VS
O/U 137.0
Oklahoma
75.4
Projected Score
Win Probability
West VirginiaOklahoma
+3.5
Spread (West Virginia)
137.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
OklahomaWest Virginia W5
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 63.5% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Oklahoma
637588
West Virginia
607285
Projected
West Virginia 72.3 — Oklahoma 75.4
Actual
West Virginia 89 — Oklahoma 82
Pick Results
OVER 137.0overWIN+0.45u
Spread Analysis
West Virginia Cover
50.7%
Oklahoma Cover
49.3%
ATS Edge: +0.6 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Oklahoma 60.7%
--
Spread
+3.5
--
Total
137.0
--
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →