FINAL: Harvard Crimson 60 — Pennsylvania 62. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Harvard Crimson 72.5 - Pennsylvania 69.1 (Harvard Crimson at 64.8% win probability). The spread is -3.5 and the total is 138.5.
Harvard Crimson
72.5
Projected Score
VS
O/U 138.5
Pennsylvania
69.1
Projected Score
Win Probability
Harvard CrimsonPennsylvania
-3.5
Spread (Harvard Crimson)
138.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Pennsylvania W4Harvard Crimson
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.9% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Pennsylvania
566982
Harvard Crimson
607285
Projected
Harvard Crimson 72.5 — Pennsylvania 69.1
Actual
Harvard Crimson 60 — Pennsylvania 62
Pick Results
Over 136.0totalLOSS-1.00u
Spread Analysis
Harvard Crimson Cover
54.5%
Pennsylvania Cover
45.5%
ATS Edge: +0.4 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Harvard Crimson 64.8%
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Spread
-3.5
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Total
138.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →