FINAL: Nebraska 58 — Purdue 74. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Nebraska 72.2 - Purdue 77.4 (Purdue at 72.2% win probability). The spread is 4.0 and the total is 143.0.
Nebraska
72.2
Projected Score
VS
O/U 143.0
Purdue
77.4
Projected Score
Win Probability
NebraskaPurdue
+4.0
Spread (Nebraska)
143.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.5% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Purdue
667789
Nebraska
607284
Projected
Nebraska 72.2 — Purdue 77.4
Actual
Nebraska 58 — Purdue 74
Pick Results
Over 142.5totalLOSS-1.50u
Spread Analysis
Nebraska Cover
36.6%
Purdue Cover
63.4%
ATS Edge: -1.9 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Purdue 72.2%
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Spread
+4.0
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Total
143.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →