FINAL: UCLA 66 — Purdue 73. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected UCLA 73.9 - Purdue 82.6 (Purdue at 71.9% win probability). The spread is 10.5 and the total is 136.5.
UCLA
73.9
Projected Score
VS
O/U 136.5
Purdue
82.6
Projected Score
Win Probability
UCLAPurdue
+10.5
Spread (UCLA)
136.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.5% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Purdue
708395
UCLA
627486
Projected
UCLA 73.9 — Purdue 82.6
Actual
UCLA 66 — Purdue 73
Pick Results
Over 147.5totalLOSS-1.50u
Spread Analysis
UCLA Cover
47.2%
Purdue Cover
52.8%
ATS Edge: +0.1 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Purdue 71.9%
--
Spread
+10.5
--
Total
136.5
--
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →