FINAL: Florida A&M 70 — Southern 73. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Florida A&M 81.7 - Southern 83.4 (Florida A&M at 51.7% win probability). The spread is 2.5 and the total is 143.5.
Florida A&M
81.7
Projected Score
VS
O/U 143.5
Southern
83.4
Projected Score
Win Probability
Florida A&MSouthern
+2.5
Spread (Florida A&M)
143.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
SouthernFlorida A&M L4
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.1% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Southern
708397
Florida A&M
688295
Projected
Florida A&M 81.7 — Southern 83.4
Actual
Florida A&M 70 — Southern 73
Pick Results
Over 143.0totalPUSH+0.00u
Spread Analysis
Florida A&M Cover
60.8%
Southern Cover
39.2%
ATS Edge: +2.3 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Florida A&M 51.7%
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Spread
+2.5
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Total
143.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →