FINAL: West Virginia 82 — Stanford Cardinal 77. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected West Virginia 68.4 - Stanford Cardinal 66.8 (West Virginia at 64.7% win probability). The spread is 1.0 and the total is 136.5.
West Virginia
68.4
Projected Score
VS
O/U 136.5
Stanford Cardinal
66.8
Projected Score
Win Probability
West VirginiaStanford Cardinal
+1.0
Spread (West Virginia)
136.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Stanford Cardinal L5West Virginia W5
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.9% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Stanford Cardinal
546779
West Virginia
566881
Projected
West Virginia 68.4 — Stanford Cardinal 66.8
Actual
West Virginia 82 — Stanford Cardinal 77
Pick Results
West Virginia MLmlWIN+0.93u
Spread Analysis
West Virginia Cover
63.5%
Stanford Cardinal Cover
36.5%
ATS Edge: +4.3 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
West Virginia 64.7%
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Spread
+1.0
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Total
136.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →