FINAL: Ohio State 64 — TCU 66. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Ohio State 80.8 - TCU 78.3 (Ohio State at 57.7% win probability). The spread is -2.5 and the total is 146.5.
Ohio State
80.8
Projected Score
VS
O/U 146.5
TCU
78.3
Projected Score
Win Probability
Ohio StateTCU
-2.5
Spread (Ohio State)
146.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.7% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
TCU
667891
Ohio State
698193
Projected
Ohio State 80.8 — TCU 78.3
Actual
Ohio State 64 — TCU 66
Pick Results
Over 146.0totalLOSS-0.50u
Spread Analysis
Ohio State Cover
49.4%
TCU Cover
50.6%
ATS Edge: -0.0 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Ohio State 57.7%
--
Spread
-2.5
--
Total
146.5
--
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →