FINAL: Houston 88 — Texas A&M 57. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Houston 77.7 - Texas A&M 64.5 (Houston at 78.3% win probability). The spread is -10.5 and the total is 142.5.
Houston
77.7
Projected Score
VS
O/U 142.5
Texas A&M
64.5
Projected Score
Win Probability
HoustonTexas A&M
-10.5
Spread (Houston)
142.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 92.2% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Texas A&M
536476
Houston
667890
Projected
Houston 77.7 — Texas A&M 64.5
Actual
Houston 88 — Texas A&M 57
Pick Results
Houston -10.5spreadWIN+0.91u
Spread Analysis
Houston Cover
63.5%
Texas A&M Cover
36.5%
ATS Edge: +4.6 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Houston 78.3%
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Spread
-10.5
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Total
142.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →