FINAL: Saint Mary's 50 — Texas A&M 63. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Saint Mary's 85.7 - Texas A&M 80.3 (Saint Mary's at 73.0% win probability). The spread is -3.0 and the total is 147.5.
Saint Mary's
85.7
Projected Score
VS
O/U 147.5
Texas A&M
80.3
Projected Score
Win Probability
Saint Mary'sTexas A&M
-3.0
Spread (Saint Mary's)
147.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Texas A&MSaint Mary's L4
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 82.5% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Texas A&M
688092
Saint Mary's
748698
Projected
Saint Mary's 85.7 — Texas A&M 80.3
Actual
Saint Mary's 50 — Texas A&M 63
Pick Results
Saint Mary's MLmlLOSS-1.00u
Spread Analysis
Saint Mary's Cover
64.2%
Texas A&M Cover
35.8%
ATS Edge: +4.0 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Saint Mary's 73.0%
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Spread
-3.0
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Total
147.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →