FINAL: Alabama 90 — Texas Tech 65. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Alabama 96.0 - Texas Tech 80.2 (Alabama at 73.0% win probability). The spread is -29.0 and the total is 159.5.
Alabama
96.0
Projected Score
VS
O/U 159.5
Texas Tech
80.2
Projected Score
Win Probability
AlabamaTexas Tech
-29.0
Spread (Alabama)
159.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 82.5% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Texas Tech
688093
Alabama
8496108
Projected
Alabama 96.0 — Texas Tech 80.2
Actual
Alabama 90 — Texas Tech 65
Pick Results
Alabama +1.5spreadWIN+0.91u
Spread Analysis
Alabama Cover
68.2%
Texas Tech Cover
31.8%
ATS Edge: +7.9 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Alabama 73.0%
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Spread
-29.0
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Total
159.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →