FINAL: BYU 71 — Texas 79. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected BYU 81.5 - Texas 79.7 (BYU at 60.7% win probability). The spread is -1.5 and the total is 170.0.
BYU
81.5
Projected Score
VS
O/U 170.0
Texas
79.7
Projected Score
Win Probability
BYUTexas
-1.5
Spread (BYU)
170.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
TexasBYU L4
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 63.5% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Texas
678092
BYU
698294
Projected
BYU 81.5 — Texas 79.7
Actual
BYU 71 — Texas 79
Pick Results
BYU MLmlLOSS-1.00u
Spread Analysis
BYU Cover
51.5%
Texas Cover
48.5%
ATS Edge: -0.6 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
BYU 60.7%
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Spread
-1.5
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Total
170.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →