FINAL: Purdue 79 — Texas 77. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Purdue 90.1 - Texas 78.1 (Purdue at 78.1% win probability). The spread is -8.5 and the total is 149.5.
Purdue
90.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 149.5
Texas
78.1
Projected Score
Win Probability
PurdueTexas
-8.5
Spread (Purdue)
149.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 92.2% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Texas
657891
Purdue
7790103
Projected
Purdue 90.1 — Texas 78.1
Actual
Purdue 79 — Texas 77
Pick Results
Purdue -7.5spreadLOSS-1.00u
Spread Analysis
Purdue Cover
65.5%
Texas Cover
34.5%
ATS Edge: +6.7 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Purdue 78.1%
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Spread
-8.5
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Total
149.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →