FINAL: Cal State Northridge 80 — UC San Diego 70. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Cal State Northridge 72.6 - UC San Diego 71.1 (Cal State Northridge at 62.4% win probability). The spread is 2.0 and the total is 151.0.
Cal State Northridge
72.6
Projected Score
VS
O/U 151.0
UC San Diego
71.1
Projected Score
Win Probability
Cal State NorthridgeUC San Diego
+2.0
Spread (Cal State Northridge)
151.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 67.4% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
UC San Diego
587184
Cal State Northridge
607386
Projected
Cal State Northridge 72.6 — UC San Diego 71.1
Actual
Cal State Northridge 80 — UC San Diego 70
Pick Results
Cal State Northridge MLmlWIN+1.10u
Spread Analysis
Cal State Northridge Cover
63.7%
UC San Diego Cover
36.3%
ATS Edge: +5.8 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Cal State Northridge 62.4%
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Spread
+2.0
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Total
151.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →