FINAL: Tulsa Golden Hurricane 77 — UNLV 66. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Tulsa Golden Hurricane 81.8 - UNLV 76.4 (Tulsa Golden Hurricane at 70.8% win probability). The spread is -4.5 and the total is 161.5.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
81.8
Projected Score
VS
O/U 161.5
UNLV
76.4
Projected Score
Win Probability
Tulsa Golden HurricaneUNLV
-4.5
Spread (Tulsa Golden Hurricane)
161.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.8% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
UNLV
637690
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
698295
Projected
Tulsa Golden Hurricane 81.8 — UNLV 76.4
Actual
Tulsa Golden Hurricane 77 — UNLV 66
Pick Results
Tulsa Golden Hurricane -4.5spreadWIN+0.91u
Spread Analysis
Tulsa Golden Hurricane Cover
55.8%
UNLV Cover
44.2%
ATS Edge: +1.5 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Tulsa Golden Hurricane 70.8%
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Spread
-4.5
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Total
161.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →