FINAL: DePaul 57 — Villanova 76. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected DePaul 61.1 - Villanova 68.9 (Villanova at 74.0% win probability). The spread is 2.5 and the total is 136.5.
DePaul
61.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 136.5
Villanova
68.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
DePaulVillanova
+2.5
Spread (DePaul)
136.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Villanova L4DePaul L4
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 82.5% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Villanova
566981
DePaul
496174
Projected
DePaul 61.1 — Villanova 68.9
Actual
DePaul 57 — Villanova 76
Pick Results
Villanova -3.5spreadWIN+0.45u
Spread Analysis
DePaul Cover
31.5%
Villanova Cover
68.5%
ATS Edge: -9.9 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Villanova 74.0%
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Spread
+2.5
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Total
136.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →