FINAL: Central Connecticut 60 — Wagner 70. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Central Connecticut 83.8 - Wagner 77.7 (Central Connecticut at 69.2% win probability). The spread is -5.0 and the total is 138.5.
Central Connecticut
83.8
Projected Score
VS
O/U 138.5
Wagner
77.7
Projected Score
Win Probability
Central ConnecticutWagner
-5.0
Spread (Central Connecticut)
138.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Wagner W4Central Connecticut
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.8% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Wagner
647891
Central Connecticut
708497
Projected
Central Connecticut 83.8 — Wagner 77.7
Actual
Central Connecticut 60 — Wagner 70
Pick Results
Central Connecticut +7.0spreadLOSS-0.50u
Spread Analysis
Central Connecticut Cover
64.2%
Wagner Cover
35.8%
ATS Edge: +0.0 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Central Connecticut 69.2%
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Spread
-5.0
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Total
138.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →