FINAL: Creighton Bluejays 70 — West Virginia 87. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected Creighton Bluejays 67.1 - West Virginia 68.8 (West Virginia at 60.7% win probability). The spread is 1.0 and the total is 137.0.
Creighton Bluejays
67.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 137.0
West Virginia
68.8
Projected Score
Win Probability
Creighton BluejaysWest Virginia
+1.0
Spread (Creighton Bluejays)
137.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
West Virginia W5Creighton Bluejays L4
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 63.5% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
West Virginia
576981
Creighton Bluejays
556779
Projected
Creighton Bluejays 67.1 — West Virginia 68.8
Actual
Creighton Bluejays 70 — West Virginia 87
Pick Results
West Virginia MLmlWIN+0.96u
Spread Analysis
Creighton Bluejays Cover
43.9%
West Virginia Cover
56.1%
ATS Edge: -1.2 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
West Virginia 60.7%
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Spread
+1.0
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Total
137.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →