FINAL: South Florida 70 — Wichita State 55. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected South Florida 79.7 - Wichita State 75.3 (South Florida at 58.2% win probability). The spread is -6.0 and the total is 150.0.
South Florida
79.7
Projected Score
VS
O/U 150.0
Wichita State
75.3
Projected Score
Win Probability
South FloridaWichita State
-6.0
Spread (South Florida)
150.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.7% (4,284 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Wichita State
637588
South Florida
678092
Projected
South Florida 79.7 — Wichita State 75.3
Actual
South Florida 70 — Wichita State 55
Pick Results
Over 149.0totalLOSS-1.00u
Spread Analysis
South Florida Cover
39.5%
Wichita State Cover
60.5%
ATS Edge: -2.7 pts
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
South Florida 58.2%
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Spread
-6.0
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Total
150.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →