Bauchou, Zach vs Li, Haotong prediction for June 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Li, Haotong 0 - Bauchou, Zach 87. Bauchou, Zach is favored with a 62.4% win probability. The spread is 0.34.
Li, Haotong
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Bauchou, Zach
+0.48
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Li, HaotongBauchou, Zach
-129
Best Odds
+10.8%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — Bauchou, Zach
Strokes Gained
+0.48/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.000 SG adj
Expected Finish
87th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Bauchou, Zach
+0.48 SG
EF 87th
Skill Gap
+0.34 SG/round
tight edge for Bauchou, Zach
Li, Haotong
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
62.4%
Books Say
56.3%
Edge
+10.8%
Bauchou, Zach vs Li, Haotong: Model gives Bauchou, Zach 62.4% win probability vs 56.3% implied (+10.8% edge). Skill advantage: +0.34 SG/round. Expected finish: 87.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Bauchou, Zach 62.4%
+10.8 pts
Spread
+0.3
+10.8 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →