PGA Tour Golf

Berger, Daniel vs Im, Sungjae Prediction

June 2, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Berger, Daniel vs Im, Sungjae prediction for June 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Im, Sungjae 0 - Berger, Daniel 45. Berger, Daniel is favored with a 53.3% win probability. The spread is 0.47.

Im, Sungjae
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday
Berger, Daniel
+0.70
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
46.7%
53.3%
Im, SungjaeBerger, Daniel
-101
Best Odds
+6.1%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
FINALBerger, Daniel (T23) def Im, Sungjae (T33)

Tournament Context

Event
the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday
Course
Muirfield Village GC
Field
72 players
Wind
11 mph
Temp
78°F
Conditions
harder (+0.5)

Player Profile — Berger, Daniel

Strokes Gained
+0.70/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.090 SG adj
Expected Finish
45th / 72

Matchup Analysis

Berger, Daniel
+0.70 SG
EF 45th
Skill Gap
+0.47 SG/round
meaningful edge for Berger, Daniel
Im, Sungjae
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
53.3%
Books Say
50.2%
Edge
+6.1%

Berger, Daniel vs Im, Sungjae: Model gives Berger, Daniel 53.3% win probability vs 50.2% implied (+6.1% edge). Skill advantage: +0.47 SG/round. Expected finish: 45.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Berger, Daniel 53.3%
+6.1 pts
Spread
+0.5
+6.1 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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