Bezuidenhout, Christiaan vs Jaeger, Stephan prediction for May 12, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Jaeger, Stephan 86 - Bezuidenhout, Christiaan 79. Bezuidenhout, Christiaan is favored with a 61.1% win probability. The spread is 0.47.
Jaeger, Stephan
+0.23
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
+0.70
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Jaeger, StephanBezuidenhout, Christiaan
-135
Best Odds
+6.4%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
727986
Jaeger, Stephan
798693
Tournament Context
Event
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course
TPC Craig Ranch
Field
147 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
82°F
Conditions
harder (+0.7)
Player Profile — Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
Strokes Gained
+0.70/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.106 SG adj
Expected Finish
79th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
+0.70 SG
EF 79th
Skill Gap
+0.47 SG/round
meaningful edge for Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
Jaeger, Stephan
+0.23 SG
EF 86th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
61.1%
Books Say
57.5%
Edge
+6.4%
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan vs Jaeger, Stephan: Model gives Bezuidenhout, Christiaan 61.1% win probability vs 57.4% implied (+6.4% edge). Skill advantage: +0.47 SG/round. Expected finish: 79.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan 61.1%
+6.4 pts
Spread
+0.5
+6.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →