Bhatia, Akshay vs Woodland, Gary prediction for May 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Woodland, Gary 95 - Bhatia, Akshay 94. Bhatia, Akshay is favored with a 58.3% win probability. The spread is 0.37.
Woodland, Gary
+0.75
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • PGA Championship
Bhatia, Akshay
+1.12
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Woodland, GaryBhatia, Akshay
-107
Best Odds
+12.8%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Bhatia, Akshay
8794101
Woodland, Gary
8895102
Tournament Context
Event
PGA Championship
Course
Aronimink Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Bhatia, Akshay
Strokes Gained
+1.12/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
poor
-0.125 SG adj
Expected Finish
94th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Bhatia, Akshay
+1.12 SG
EF 94th
Skill Gap
+0.37 SG/round
tight edge for Bhatia, Akshay
Woodland, Gary
+0.75 SG
EF 95th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.3%
Books Say
51.7%
Edge
+12.8%
Bhatia, Akshay vs Woodland, Gary: Model gives Bhatia, Akshay 58.3% win probability vs 51.7% implied (+12.8% edge). Skill advantage: +0.37 SG/round. Expected finish: 94.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Bhatia, Akshay 58.3%
+12.8 pts
Spread
+0.4
+12.8 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →