Bradley, Keegan vs Conners, Corey prediction for May 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Conners, Corey 40 - Bradley, Keegan 29. Bradley, Keegan is favored with a 70.1% win probability. The spread is 0.14.
Conners, Corey
+0.78
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Truist Championship
Bradley, Keegan
+0.93
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Conners, CoreyBradley, Keegan
-114
Best Odds
+31.5%
Edge
2.0u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Bradley, Keegan
222936
Conners, Corey
334047
Tournament Context
Event
Truist Championship
Course
Quail Hollow Club
Field
72 players
Wind
9 mph
Temp
72°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)
Player Profile — Bradley, Keegan
Strokes Gained
+0.93/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.163 SG adj
Expected Finish
29th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Bradley, Keegan
+0.93 SG
EF 29th
Skill Gap
+0.14 SG/round
tight edge for Bradley, Keegan
Conners, Corey
+0.78 SG
EF 40th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
70.1%
Books Say
53.3%
Edge
+31.5%
Bradley, Keegan vs Conners, Corey: Model gives Bradley, Keegan 70.1% win probability vs 53.3% implied (+31.5% edge). Skill advantage: +0.14 SG/round. Expected finish: 29.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Bradley, Keegan 70.1%
+31.5 pts
Spread
+0.1
+31.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →