PGA Tour Golf

Bradley, Keegan vs English, Harris Prediction

April 29, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Bradley, Keegan vs English, Harris prediction for April 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects English, Harris 37 - Bradley, Keegan 33. Bradley, Keegan is favored with a 51.7% win probability. The spread is -0.23.

English, Harris
+1.17
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Truist Championship
Bradley, Keegan
+0.93
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
48.3%
51.7%
English, HarrisBradley, Keegan
+105
Best Odds
+6.1%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
FINALEnglish, Harris (T18) def Bradley, Keegan (CUT)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Bradley, Keegan
263340
English, Harris
303744

Tournament Context

Event
Truist Championship
Course
Quail Hollow Club
Field
72 players
Wind
12 mph
Temp
76°F
Conditions
harder (+0.6)

Player Profile — Bradley, Keegan

Strokes Gained
+0.93/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.163 SG adj
Expected Finish
33th / 72

Matchup Analysis

Bradley, Keegan
+0.93 SG
EF 33th
Skill Gap
-0.23 SG/round
tight edge for English, Harris
English, Harris
+1.17 SG
EF 37th · Tour Elite

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
51.7%
Books Say
48.8%
Edge
+6.1%

Bradley, Keegan vs English, Harris: Model gives Bradley, Keegan 51.7% win probability vs 48.8% implied (+6.1% edge). Skill advantage: -0.23 SG/round. Expected finish: 33.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Bradley, Keegan 51.7%
+6.1 pts
Spread
-0.2
+6.1 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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