Bradley, Keegan vs Griffin, Ben prediction for May 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Griffin, Ben 34 - Bradley, Keegan 27. Bradley, Keegan is favored with a 64.1% win probability. The spread is -0.08.
Griffin, Ben
+1.07
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Cadillac Championship
Bradley, Keegan
+0.99
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Griffin, BenBradley, Keegan
+100
Best Odds
+28.2%
Edge
2.0u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Bradley, Keegan
202734
Griffin, Ben
273441
Tournament Context
Event
Cadillac Championship
Course
Trump National Doral (Blue Monster)
Field
72 players
Player Profile — Bradley, Keegan
Strokes Gained
+0.99/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.026 SG adj
Expected Finish
27th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Bradley, Keegan
+0.99 SG
EF 27th
Skill Gap
-0.08 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Griffin, Ben
+1.07 SG
EF 34th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
64.1%
Books Say
50.0%
Edge
+28.2%
Bradley, Keegan vs Griffin, Ben: Model gives Bradley, Keegan 64.1% win probability vs 50.0% implied (+28.2% edge). Expected finish: 27.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Bradley, Keegan 64.1%
+28.2 pts
Spread
-0.1
+28.2 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →