Brennan, Michael vs Coody, Pierceson prediction for June 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Coody, Pierceson 0 - Brennan, Michael 107. Brennan, Michael is favored with a 60.6% win probability. The spread is -0.28.
Coody, Pierceson
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Brennan, Michael
+0.27
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Coody, PiercesonBrennan, Michael
+101
Best Odds
+21.9%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Brennan, Michael
Strokes Gained
+0.27/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.104 SG adj
Expected Finish
107th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Brennan, Michael
+0.27 SG
EF 107th
Skill Gap
-0.28 SG/round
tight edge for Coody, Pierceson
Coody, Pierceson
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
60.6%
Books Say
49.8%
Edge
+21.9%
Brennan, Michael vs Coody, Pierceson: Model gives Brennan, Michael 60.6% win probability vs 49.8% implied (+21.9% edge). Skill advantage: -0.29 SG/round. Expected finish: 107.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Brennan, Michael 60.6%
+21.9 pts
Spread
-0.3
+21.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →