Brennan, Michael vs Im, Sungjae prediction for May 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Im, Sungjae 78 - Brennan, Michael 81. Brennan, Michael is favored with a 54.7% win probability. The spread is -0.04.
Im, Sungjae
+0.26
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Brennan, Michael
+0.22
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Im, SungjaeBrennan, Michael
+100
Best Odds
+9.4%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Brennan, Michael
748188
Im, Sungjae
717885
Tournament Context
Event
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course
TPC Craig Ranch
Field
147 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
82°F
Conditions
harder (+0.7)
Player Profile — Brennan, Michael
Strokes Gained
+0.22/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.281 SG adj
Expected Finish
81th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Brennan, Michael
+0.22 SG
EF 81th
Skill Gap
-0.04 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Im, Sungjae
+0.26 SG
EF 78th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
54.7%
Books Say
50.0%
Edge
+9.4%
Brennan, Michael vs Im, Sungjae: Model gives Brennan, Michael 54.7% win probability vs 50.0% implied (+9.4% edge). Expected finish: 81.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Brennan, Michael 54.7%
+9.4 pts
Spread
-0.0
+9.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →